Pre-tourney Rankings
Wichita St.
Missouri Valley
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.6#34
Expected Predictive Rating+12.1#32
Pace65.4#218
Improvement-3.0#298

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#60
Improvement+0.0#169

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#26
Improvement-3.0#307
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 89.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 89.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four13.8% n/a n/a
First Round83.4% n/a n/a
Second Round38.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen14.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.1% n/a n/a
Final Four1.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 177   NC Central W 71-57 92%     1 - 0 +10.2 +2.5 +8.4
  Nov 13, 2012 20   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 53-51 31%     2 - 0 +18.7 -8.6 +27.5
  Nov 15, 2012 256   Western Carolina W 79-63 96%     3 - 0 +7.3 +3.3 +4.6
  Nov 17, 2012 327   Howard W 69-50 99%     4 - 0 +3.6 +0.2 +4.8
  Nov 20, 2012 165   DePaul W 75-62 86%     5 - 0 +13.0 -5.6 +17.6
  Nov 21, 2012 36   Iowa W 75-63 51%     6 - 0 +23.4 +10.6 +12.9
  Nov 28, 2012 175   Tulsa W 86-60 92%     7 - 0 +22.2 +12.8 +9.2
  Dec 02, 2012 85   @ Air Force W 72-69 60%     8 - 0 +11.9 -0.4 +12.4
  Dec 08, 2012 251   Northern Colorado W 80-54 96%     9 - 0 +17.5 +0.8 +16.9
  Dec 13, 2012 60   @ Tennessee L 60-69 51%     9 - 1 +2.4 -4.8 +6.8
  Dec 20, 2012 189   Charleston Southern W 65-53 92%     10 - 1 +7.6 -9.5 +17.1
  Dec 22, 2012 59   Southern Miss W 59-51 63%     11 - 1 +16.2 -9.5 +26.0
  Dec 30, 2012 64   Northern Iowa W 66-41 75%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +29.5 +5.9 +27.2
  Jan 02, 2013 118   @ Drake W 75-63 69%     13 - 1 2 - 0 +18.5 +4.5 +14.2
  Jan 06, 2013 159   @ Bradley W 69-63 77%     14 - 1 3 - 0 +9.8 +4.6 +5.7
  Jan 09, 2013 161   Southern Illinois W 82-76 91%     15 - 1 4 - 0 +3.0 +8.2 -5.1
  Jan 13, 2013 79   @ Evansville L 67-71 59%     15 - 2 4 - 1 +5.3 +1.2 +4.0
  Jan 16, 2013 65   Illinois St. W 74-62 75%     16 - 2 5 - 1 +16.4 +1.2 +15.0
  Jan 19, 2013 15   Creighton W 67-64 51%     17 - 2 6 - 1 +14.3 -2.4 +16.8
  Jan 23, 2013 197   @ Missouri St. W 62-52 83%     18 - 2 7 - 1 +11.6 -1.6 +14.8
  Jan 26, 2013 159   Bradley W 73-39 90%     19 - 2 8 - 1 +31.3 +9.9 +26.6
  Jan 29, 2013 96   Indiana St. L 55-68 83%     19 - 3 8 - 2 -11.3 -7.6 -5.5
  Feb 02, 2013 64   @ Northern Iowa L 52-57 53%     19 - 4 8 - 3 +6.0 -7.7 +13.1
  Feb 05, 2013 161   @ Southern Illinois L 62-64 78%     19 - 5 8 - 4 +1.5 -2.5 +3.8
  Feb 09, 2013 197   Missouri St. W 79-50 93%     20 - 5 9 - 4 +24.2 +12.6 +15.2
  Feb 13, 2013 118   Drake W 71-56 86%     21 - 5 10 - 4 +15.0 -0.7 +16.4
  Feb 17, 2013 65   @ Illinois St. W 68-67 53%     22 - 5 11 - 4 +11.9 +0.9 +11.0
  Feb 19, 2013 96   @ Indiana St. W 66-62 63%     23 - 5 12 - 4 +12.2 +2.3 +10.0
  Feb 23, 2013 69   Detroit Mercy W 94-79 77%     24 - 5 +19.1 +13.1 +5.0
  Feb 27, 2013 79   Evansville L 56-59 80%     24 - 6 12 - 5 -0.2 -7.0 +6.4
  Mar 02, 2013 15   @ Creighton L 79-91 28%     24 - 7 12 - 6 +5.8 +16.3 -11.3
  Mar 08, 2013 197   Missouri St. W 69-59 89%     25 - 7 +8.4 +4.5 +5.4
  Mar 09, 2013 65   Illinois St. W 66-51 65%     26 - 7 +22.7 +1.8 +22.2
  Mar 10, 2013 15   Creighton L 65-68 39%     26 - 8 +11.5 +4.3 +6.9
Projected Record 26.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 89.3% 89.3% 10.5 0.1 0.4 3.9 11.2 24.2 34.6 15.0 0.0 10.7 89.3%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 89.3% 0.0% 89.3% 10.5 0.1 0.4 3.9 11.2 24.2 34.6 15.0 0.0 10.7 89.3%